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Red114
22554.1
593823.8
7527.6
Blue73
125731.7
331443.1
22233.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213040608012014016018020011473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
54.10.4
53.854.1
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
red by 11.0
43.13.3
46.943.7
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Second
75
#50
27.60.4
26.426.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
blue by 5.5
222
#43
33.13.3
37.434.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
5938
#51
23.80.4
23.123.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
blue by 7.9
1257
#52
31.73.3
37.734.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned54%Capture oddsMissed