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Red108
22326.9
465332.2
164040.5
Blue106
255927.2
86944.7
164728.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001008090110120108106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#49
40.50.7
40.741.5
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
blue by 4.2
869
#10
44.70.3
43.143.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
Second
4653
#38
32.20.7
30.230.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
red by 3.8
1647
#28
28.50.3
27.027.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Third
223
#55
26.90.7
25.926.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 0.3
2559
#39
27.20.3
27.027.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed