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Red160
10236.0
86944.7
331443.1
Blue129
164728.5
114338.5
34145.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711150100150200160129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#10
44.72.3
43.445.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
blue by 1.0
341
#3
45.71.2
46.647.9
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
Second
43.12.3
43.746.0
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 4.6
1143
#12
38.51.2
36.537.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Third
102
#17
36.02.3
33.836.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End5.9
red by 7.6
1647
#28
28.51.2
27.228.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
37%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsEarned