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Red105
30340.4
445426.8
568435.1
Blue92
127928.0
36537.5
620323.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078940608010012014016018010592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#33
40.40.2
40.240.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
red by 2.9
365
#44
37.50.2
38.038.2
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
Second
5684
#23
35.10.2
34.835.1
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End5.7
red by 7.1
1279
#59
28.00.2
27.828.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Third
4454
#58
26.80.2
26.626.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
red by 3.4
6203
#53
23.40.2
23.223.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
62%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed