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Red121
2546.0
457527.5
260734.2
Blue155
4138.6
140332.4
22554.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081306080100120140160180200121155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#11
46.00.9
48.048.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End12.4
blue by 8.1
225
#1
54.12.2
54.156.3
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
Second
2607
#29
34.20.9
33.334.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
blue by 4.5
41
#8
38.62.2
37.539.6
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End4.9
Third
4575
#46
27.50.9
26.727.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 4.8
1403
#37
32.42.2
31.133.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
48%Capture oddsMissed65%Capture oddsMissed