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Red103
5639.9
32132.7
30340.4
Blue72
260734.2
511332.2
114338.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029540608012014016010372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#33
40.40.0
35.435.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
red by 1.9
1143
#12
38.51.4
37.335.9
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Second
56
#15
39.90.0
36.336.3
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3
red by 5.7
2607
#29
34.21.4
28.126.7
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Third
321
#14
32.70.0
26.126.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End4.4
red by 0.5
5113
#24
32.21.4
27.726.3
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed