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Red100
259043.1
27226.9
127928.0
Blue57
463721.9
22326.9
601624.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006805015020010057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#13
43.10.5
38.939.4
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End3.9
red by 16.2
223
#55
26.90.9
26.225.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
Second
1279
#59
28.00.5
27.127.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.1
red by 3.4
6016
#30
24.50.9
23.722.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Third
272
#26
26.90.5
26.527.0
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 5.0
4637
#60
21.90.9
20.920.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed