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Red89
114338.5
495432.6
48430.7
Blue81
201632.4
167625.0
620323.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038340601201401608981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#12
38.50.5
34.834.3
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
red by 6.1
2016
#40
32.40.5
33.332.8
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Second
4954
#47
32.60.5
32.932.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 7.6
1676
#54
25.00.5
30.229.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Third
484
#20
30.70.5
29.629.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
red by 7.3
6203
#53
23.40.5
20.119.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed