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Red117
540438.1
331443.1
140332.4
Blue93
562433.2
5639.9
568435.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171038014016018011793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.0
44.944.9
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 3.2
56
#15
39.90.6
35.635.0
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3
Second
5404
#27
38.10.0
36.936.9
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
red by 3.1
5684
#23
35.10.6
34.233.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End5.7
Third
1403
#37
32.40.0
30.230.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
blue by 0.9
5624
#48
33.20.6
32.331.7
Auto7.0
Teleop20.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsEarned59%Capture oddsMissed