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Red128
36537.5
589541.0
445426.8
Blue84
259043.1
465332.2
566624.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199240608010014016012884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.2
45.044.8
Auto11.0
Teleop25.1
End5.0
blue by 2.0
2590
#13
43.11.0
40.839.8
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End3.9
Second
365
#44
37.50.2
38.538.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
red by 5.3
4653
#38
32.21.0
29.728.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Third
4454
#58
26.80.2
27.927.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
red by 2.0
5666
#57
24.81.0
23.022.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsMissed