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Red130
86944.7
121836.5
7527.6
Blue76
167625.0
475029.1
48430.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049305015013076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#10
44.71.7
42.143.9
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
red by 14.0
484
#20
30.71.1
28.527.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Second
1218
#19
36.51.7
32.734.4
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End5.4
red by 7.4
4750
#32
29.11.1
32.131.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Third
75
#50
27.61.7
24.426.1
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
red by 2.6
1676
#54
25.01.1
31.230.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed