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Red89
620323.4
5639.9
566624.8
Blue111
198941.7
540140.3
593823.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110220406012014016089111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#15
39.90.5
36.837.3
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3
blue by 1.8
41.70.7
37.938.5
Auto11.7
Teleop24.9
End5.0
Second
5666
#57
24.80.5
22.122.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 15.5
40.30.7
36.937.5
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
Third
6203
#53
23.40.5
22.823.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 0.3
5938
#51
23.80.7
21.522.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsEarned