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Red108
162632.4
27226.9
562433.2
Blue118
566624.8
48430.7
22554.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85110204060100120140160108118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5624
#48
33.21.1
31.732.8
Auto7.0
Teleop20.5
End5.7
blue by 20.9
225
#1
54.11.0
53.454.3
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
Second
1626
#25
32.41.1
30.031.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 1.7
484
#20
30.71.0
27.528.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Third
272
#26
26.91.1
24.325.4
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 2.1
5666
#57
24.81.0
22.523.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
37%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned