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Red75
22326.9
167625.0
1132.8
Blue162
198941.7
34145.7
30340.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871255010015020075162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#45
32.81.0
32.431.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
blue by 12.9
341
#3
45.73.1
42.145.2
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
Second
223
#55
26.91.0
27.426.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 14.8
41.73.1
38.541.6
Auto11.7
Teleop24.9
End5.0
Third
1676
#54
25.01.0
30.129.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 15.4
303
#33
40.43.1
35.438.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed54%Capture oddsEarned