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Red82
127928.0
164728.5
593823.8
Blue114
540438.1
260734.2
540727.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739920406012014016082114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1647
#28
28.50.1
26.226.4
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
blue by 9.7
5404
#27
38.11.5
36.437.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
Second
1279
#59
28.00.1
26.626.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.1
blue by 6.2
2607
#29
34.21.5
29.530.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Third
5938
#51
23.80.1
22.222.3
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
blue by 4.1
5407
#36
27.91.4
26.427.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned