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Red197
34145.7
22554.1
125731.7
Blue170
164040.5
589541.0
5639.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176158100200250197170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
54.10.4
55.355.7
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
red by 13.1
41.00.1
41.041.0
Auto11.0
Teleop25.1
End5.0
Second
341
#3
45.70.4
46.947.3
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
red by 5.2
1640
#49
40.50.1
40.440.5
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
Third
1257
#52
31.70.4
32.933.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
blue by 8.2
56
#15
39.90.1
39.839.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3