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Red135
70839.0
171229.2
140332.4
Blue162
2546.0
331443.1
108936.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141179100150200250135162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#18
39.00.4
39.439.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End9.5
blue by 7.0
25
#11
46.00.4
48.247.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End12.4
Second
1403
#37
32.40.4
32.732.4
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
blue by 10.7
43.10.4
45.344.9
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Third
29.20.4
29.629.2
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
blue by 6.9
1089
#21
36.10.4
38.337.9
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End3.5