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Qual 22016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red69
999921.3
97344.2
385937.2
Blue56
1678C17.0
549928.7
1678B33.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10096607080901101201306956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#7
44.21.8
37.3→35.5
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
red by 10.4
1678B
#19
33.82.4
33.8→31.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
Second
3859
#17
37.21.8
43.7→41.9
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
red by 8.5
5499
#23
28.72.5
22.9→20.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Third
9999
#16
21.33.1
15.6→12.6
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
red by 4.3
1678C
#31
17.014.4
17.0→31.4
Auto-1.4
Teleop15.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsMissed