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Qual 282016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red49
549928.7
581728.1
425515.1
Blue170
97173.4
213530.5
973B41.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45168010015020025030049170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#23
28.70.8
21.8→21.0
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
blue by 44.6
971
#1
73.41.3
81.4→82.7
Auto22.4
Teleop38.9
End12.0
Second
5817
#24
28.10.8
23.4→22.6
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 13.2
973B
#9
41.21.3
35.4→36.7
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
Third
4255
#32
15.10.8
15.7→14.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 15.4
2135
#12
30.51.3
29.0→30.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed76%Capture oddsEarned