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Qual 322016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red125
417110.1
97173.4
97344.2
Blue98
348229.1
385937.2
132353.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451175010020025012598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
73.40.8
82.7→81.9
Auto22.4
Teleop38.9
End12.0
red by 19.8
1323
#5
53.61.3
47.4→46.1
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
Second
973
#7
44.20.8
39.6→38.8
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
red by 7.0
3859
#17
37.21.3
40.0→38.7
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
Third
4171
#22
10.10.8
14.8→14.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 19.0
3482
#28
29.11.3
30.3→29.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
69%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed