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Qual 342016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red59
425515.1
585228.4
617426.5
Blue120
2073B35.6
349527.7
97344.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6811505010015020025030059120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5852
#15
28.41.3
28.2→26.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 15.8
973
#7
44.21.0
38.8→39.8
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
Second
6174
#13
26.51.3
30.1→28.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 9.1
2073B
#11
35.61.0
36.5→37.5
Auto8.6
Teleop23.1
End3.8
Third
4255
#32
15.11.3
14.9→13.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 12.6
3495
#26
27.71.0
29.8→30.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed29%Capture oddsMissed