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Qual 362016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red138
581728.1
510430.7
132353.6
Blue73
1323B31.7
549928.7
214433.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999770809011012013013873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#5
53.61.9
46.1→48.0
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
red by 20.0
2144
#18
33.51.5
38.5→37.0
Auto8.3
Teleop21.5
End3.7
Second
5104
#10
30.71.9
25.4→27.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End5.1
blue by 0.9
1323B
#27
31.71.5
35.4→33.9
Auto2.8
Teleop25.5
End3.3
Third
5817
#24
28.11.9
22.6→24.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 0.6
5499
#23
28.71.5
22.2→20.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsMissed