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Qual 382016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red124
999921.3
1671B20.1
167866.5
Blue132
973B41.2
971C30.7
385937.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211090100120130124132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#2
66.50.7
71.5→72.2
Auto17.9
Teleop42.8
End5.9
red by 25.3
973B
#9
41.21.0
36.7→37.6
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
Second
9999
#16
21.30.8
14.8→15.6
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
blue by 15.9
3859
#17
37.21.0
38.7→39.7
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
Third
1671B
#30
20.10.7
22.5→23.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 10.6
971C
#8
30.71.6
31.9→33.5
Auto10.5
Teleop15.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsEarned55%Capture oddsMissed