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Qual 402016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red117
999921.3
973B41.2
510430.7
Blue100
1323B31.7
97344.2
5817B18.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8987607080100110120117100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973B
#9
41.21.4
37.6→39.1
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
blue by 3.0
973
#7
44.20.3
39.8→40.1
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
Second
5104
#10
30.71.4
27.3→28.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End5.1
blue by 0.9
1323B
#27
31.70.3
33.9→34.2
Auto2.8
Teleop25.5
End3.3
Third
9999
#16
21.31.6
15.6→17.2
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
red by 2.7
5817B
#25
18.60.5
16.8→17.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsMissed