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Qual 442016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red128
585228.4
167152.8
281320.8
Blue120
971B52.4
999921.3
549928.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9694708090100110120128120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#4
52.82.3
49.0→51.3
Auto14.9
Teleop32.2
End5.8
red by 0.5
971B
#6
52.42.9
53.9→56.9
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
Second
5852
#15
28.42.3
26.9→29.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 0.3
5499
#23
28.71.9
20.7→22.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Third
2813
#29
20.82.3
17.3→19.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 0.6
9999
#16
21.31.9
17.2→19.1
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsEarned