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Red132
971B52.4
1671B20.1
97173.4
Blue100
214433.5
5817B18.6
132353.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18191050150200250300132100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
73.42.1
81.879.7
Auto22.4
Teleop38.9
End12.0
red by 19.8
53.60.1
50.150.1
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
Second
52.43.0
56.953.9
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
red by 18.8
2144
#18
33.50.1
33.733.7
Auto8.3
Teleop21.5
End3.7
Third
20.12.1
24.222.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End3.4
red by 1.5
18.60.1
17.317.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
90%Capture oddsEarned15%Capture oddsMissed