Skip to content
Qual 502016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red124
97344.2
999921.3
132353.6
Blue119
281320.8
11436.3
97173.4
25%Model gave it75%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105148050200250300124119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#5
53.61.0
50.1→51.1
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
blue by 19.8
971
#1
73.41.2
79.7→78.5
Auto22.4
Teleop38.9
End12.0
Second
973
#7
44.21.0
40.1→41.1
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
red by 7.9
114
#14
36.31.2
38.3→37.1
Auto7.1
Teleop25.8
End3.4
Third
9999
#16
21.31.0
18.3→19.4
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
red by 0.6
2813
#29
20.81.2
19.6→18.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsMissed