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Qual 532016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red117
971B52.4
973B41.2
5817B18.6
Blue142
97344.2
207352.2
213530.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111122050150200250117142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971B
#6
52.40.2
53.9→54.1
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
red by 0.2
2073
#3
52.21.6
48.6→50.2
Auto9.1
Teleop38.4
End4.6
Second
973B
#9
41.20.2
38.4→38.6
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
blue by 3.0
973
#7
44.21.6
41.1→42.8
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
Third
5817B
#25
18.60.2
17.2→17.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 11.9
2135
#12
30.51.6
27.6→29.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned