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Red91
281320.8
510430.7
617426.5
Blue93
5817B18.6
1678B33.8
971C30.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8381506070901001109193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#10
30.70.7
29.430.1
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End5.1
blue by 3.1
33.80.0
36.136.0
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
Second
6174
#13
26.50.7
27.728.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 4.3
30.70.0
30.030.0
Auto10.5
Teleop15.4
End4.8
Third
2813
#29
20.80.7
18.719.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 2.2
18.60.0
17.417.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed54%Capture oddsMissed