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Red170
167866.5
97173.4
417110.1
Blue167
973B41.2
97344.2
585228.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22313150100150200250170167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
73.40.9
77.376.3
Auto22.4
Teleop38.9
End12.0
red by 29.1
973
#7
44.20.6
44.645.2
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
Second
66.50.9
70.469.5
Auto17.9
Teleop42.8
End5.9
red by 25.3
41.20.6
41.642.2
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
Third
4171
#22
10.10.9
14.013.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 18.3
5852
#15
28.40.6
28.829.4
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1