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Red175
971B52.4
207352.2
1678B33.8
Blue185
2135B31.7
167152.8
132353.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184167050100150250300350175185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.2
52.452.3
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
blue by 1.2
53.60.0
54.454.4
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
Second
52.20.2
52.352.1
Auto9.1
Teleop38.4
End4.6
blue by 0.7
52.80.0
53.753.7
Auto14.9
Teleop32.2
End5.8
Third
33.80.2
33.933.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
red by 2.1
31.70.0
32.632.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.0
End2.2