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Semifinal 2-32016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red194
971B52.4
207352.2
1678B33.8
Blue170
2135B31.7
167152.8
132353.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185164050100250300350194170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971B
#6
52.40.2
52.7→53.0
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
blue by 1.2
1323
#5
53.60.1
53.6→53.6
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
Second
2073
#3
52.20.2
52.6→52.8
Auto9.1
Teleop38.4
End4.6
blue by 0.7
1671
#4
52.80.1
52.9→52.8
Auto14.9
Teleop32.2
End5.8
Third
1678B
#19
33.80.2
34.2→34.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
red by 2.1
2135B
#21
31.70.1
31.8→31.7
Auto9.5
Teleop20.0
End2.2