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Red140
440323.2
315833.0
352720.3
Blue99
601710.9
620020.4
552624.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995820408012014016014099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.3
32.232.5
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 8.8
5526
#15
24.30.6
23.123.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End4.0
Second
23.20.3
22.322.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
red by 2.8
6200
#13
20.40.6
19.419.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Third
3527
#38
20.30.3
19.419.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3
red by 9.4
6017
#14
10.90.6
9.810.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.1
End0.8