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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Mexico City Regional
Red75
463525.5
348022.2
610610.5
Blue119
477516.0
587424.2
619918.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8261204010012014075119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#8
25.50.1
26.2→26.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
red by 1.3
5874
#9
24.21.0
23.4→24.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
3480
#5
22.20.1
22.8→22.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 3.3
6199
#16
18.81.0
18.0→19.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End5.5
Third
6106
#20
10.50.1
11.1→11.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 5.6
4775
#11
16.01.0
15.1→16.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.6