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Red80
463525.5
348022.2
610610.5
Blue69
477516.0
587424.2
619918.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8165020401001201401608069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.0
26.126.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
red by 1.3
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
22.20.0
22.722.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 3.3
6199
#16
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End5.5
Third
6106
#20
10.50.0
11.011.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 5.6
4775
#11
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.6