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Red112
347827.1
228328.2
588716.5
Blue102
531217.6
435519.5
401020.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96560204080120140160112102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.5
28.429.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End5.5
red by 8.2
4010
#31
20.00.7
19.019.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
27.10.5
27.227.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
red by 7.6
4355
#12
19.50.6
18.619.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Third
5887
#36
16.50.5
16.417.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End3.5
blue by 1.1
5312
#18
17.60.6
16.717.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.0