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Red45
593214.0
472316.2
426215.8
Blue70
620020.4
440121.5
460321.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060801004570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4723
#37
16.21.0
13.614.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 5.3
21.52.3
14.316.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Second
4262
#27
15.81.0
11.112.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 5.2
21.02.3
16.718.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.4
End1.3
Third
5932
#45
14.01.0
11.112.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 6.5
6200
#13
20.42.3
13.615.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed