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Red94
587424.2
228328.2
315833.0
Blue32
440121.5
335414.6
484214.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583402040801009432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.04.0
18.922.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 11.5
21.50.5
16.115.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Second
28.24.0
18.822.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End5.5
red by 13.3
4842
#19
14.90.5
8.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Third
24.24.0
15.019.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End6.1
red by 9.7
3354
#42
14.60.5
12.612.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed