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Red32
531217.6
46856.7
473115.7
Blue52
587424.2
473517.4
460321.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295802040801003252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#18
17.60.1
16.316.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.0
blue by 6.6
24.20.6
19.018.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
4731
#41
15.70.1
9.39.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 5.3
21.00.6
18.217.6
Auto9.4
Teleop10.4
End1.3
Third
4685
#34
6.70.1
7.27.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End0.8
blue by 10.7
4735
#30
17.40.6
14.914.4
Auto8.4
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed