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Red5
56966.8
552624.3
46856.7
Blue25
601012.4
57057.9
478213.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4426010204050607080525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5526
#15
24.33.9
21.417.5
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End4.0
red by 10.8
4782
#35
13.40.9
13.012.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Second
5696
#48
6.83.9
11.98.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 5.6
6010
#39
12.40.9
8.37.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
4685
#34
6.73.9
7.13.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End0.8
blue by 1.1
5705
#52
7.90.9
7.06.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed11%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed