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Red67
460321.0
59597.4
352220.9
Blue47
594817.0
57057.9
228328.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060801006747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.02.5
17.419.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.4
End1.3
blue by 7.2
28.20.4
27.026.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End5.5
Second
3522
#26
20.92.5
17.420.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End4.5
red by 3.9
5948
#22
17.00.4
17.016.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End3.8
Third
5959
#49
7.42.5
4.47.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 0.5
5705
#52
7.90.4
6.15.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed