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Red35
621815.7
617018.8
57057.9
Blue44
435519.5
473517.4
426215.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395202060801003544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#29
18.81.0
17.916.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 0.7
4355
#12
19.51.0
18.017.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Second
6218
#40
15.71.1
15.914.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 1.8
4735
#30
17.41.0
16.515.4
Auto8.4
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
5705
#52
7.91.0
5.84.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End-0.4
blue by 7.9
4262
#27
15.81.0
14.013.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsMissed19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed