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Red75
348022.2
619918.8
347827.1
Blue49
60488.0
57057.9
552624.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565302040801007549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.12.4
22.124.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
red by 2.8
5526
#15
24.31.4
18.917.5
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End4.0
Second
22.22.4
15.918.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 14.2
6048
#46
8.06.2
8.014.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End-0.3
Third
6199
#16
18.80.8
18.818.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End5.5
red by 11.0
5705
#52
7.91.4
17.215.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed