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Qual 772016 Mexico City Regional
Red59
440023.5
426215.8
352612.3
Blue82
347827.1
463525.5
601710.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057020801005982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#21
23.51.8
18.2→20.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End4.2
blue by 3.5
3478
#3
27.12.8
25.1→27.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
Second
4262
#27
15.81.7
13.0→14.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 9.7
4635
#8
25.52.8
22.0→24.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
Third
3526
#43
12.31.7
10.4→12.0
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 1.4
6017
#14
10.92.8
5.9→8.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed