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Red57
463525.5
351011.3
57057.9
Blue59
594817.0
587424.2
472316.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3960020801005759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.4
24.826.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
red by 1.3
24.20.3
22.923.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
3510
#33
11.31.4
9.911.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 5.7
5948
#22
17.00.3
16.717.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End3.8
Third
5705
#52
7.91.4
6.57.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End-0.4
blue by 8.3
4723
#37
16.20.3
15.816.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed