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Red62
458418.9
484214.9
621815.7
Blue49
437113.8
352220.9
352612.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4748304060706249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4584
#24
18.90.9
17.918.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 2.1
3522
#26
20.90.2
20.720.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End4.5
Second
6218
#40
15.71.0
14.715.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End3.8
red by 1.9
4371
#47
13.80.3
13.513.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
Third
4842
#19
14.90.9
14.014.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 2.7
3526
#43
12.30.2
12.012.3
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed