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Red128
23837.8
265535.3
368013.1
Blue105
264022.8
476719.6
122515.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11759204080100140160128105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#3
37.80.3
37.837.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End6.4
red by 15.0
2640
#17
22.80.6
22.222.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End5.1
Second
35.30.3
35.335.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.6
End5.4
red by 15.7
4767
#12
19.60.6
19.019.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Third
3680
#24
13.10.3
13.112.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 2.6
1225
#20
15.80.6
15.215.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2