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Red97
205927.0
429033.4
384521.9
Blue102
42225.5
340221.9
567925.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098120406010012014016097102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
33.833.4
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End6.2
red by 7.5
5679
#15
25.90.3
24.825.1
Auto11.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Second
27.00.4
27.327.0
Auto7.6
Teleop15.7
End3.7
red by 1.5
422
#18
25.50.3
24.424.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End3.1
Third
3845
#21
21.90.4
22.221.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
Level
3402
#10
21.90.3
20.821.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End4.9