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Red107
153327.3
516031.5
322911.3
Blue93
319623.1
493532.3
572721.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889805015020010793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.3
32.032.4
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
blue by 0.8
32.30.1
32.432.3
Auto9.5
Teleop18.4
End4.4
Second
27.30.3
27.928.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End9.2
red by 4.3
3196
#14
23.10.1
23.123.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End3.9
Third
3229
#23
11.30.3
11.912.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.6
blue by 10.2
5727
#16
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0