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Red67
476719.6
516031.5
397119.8
Blue75
122515.8
265535.3
205927.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5572204060801006775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.7
27.227.9
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
blue by 3.9
35.30.5
31.632.1
Auto10.3
Teleop19.6
End5.4
Second
3971
#19
19.80.7
15.416.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 7.2
27.00.5
25.626.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.7
End3.7
Third
4767
#12
19.60.7
13.314.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 3.9
1225
#20
15.80.5
10.310.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed